13 Jan 2026 | News & Feature

TFP W2 2026: Fiscal-fed liquidity windfall

  • Shocks in both revenue and spending parts of the government’s budget explain the overshot fiscal deficit in 2025.
  • Anaemic private demand, along with disaster relief and reconstruction efforts, highlights the difficulty for the government to trim its spending commitment despite the revenue shortfall.
  • Higher net fiscal spending leads to the overflow of liquidity into the domestic banking sector, creating an industry-wide imbalance as the demand for loans remains subdued.